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Blood Strike M700 Pull Cost Calculator & Pity System Guide

The Iridian Ultra Flip M700 event in Blood Strike runs December 19-January 18. This guide breaks down pull costs, pity mechanics, and value analysis to help you decide if this limited sniper skin is worth your investment.

M700 Event Structure and Timeline

The M700 Iridian Ultra Flip launches December 19 with a 30-day window through January 18. The M700 unlocks at Striker Level 1 with base stats: 125 damage, 4 fire rate, 35 mobility, 60 range, 62 recoil control, 26 accuracy.

The extended 30-day period gives you time to accumulate resources and evaluate community feedback before committing. Events typically end at server reset times on January 18—verify your server's schedule to avoid missing final pulls.

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Pull Options: Single vs 10-Pull

Blood Strike event pull menu with single and 10-pull options

Blood Strike events typically offer:

  • Single pulls: Granular control, stop immediately on desired drops

  • 10-pull bundles: 5-10% discount vs ten singles, better long-term value

10-pulls commit more upfront but maximize efficiency across extended participation. Singles work best when you're testing luck with limited budget.

Currency System

Events use premium diamonds as primary currency, sometimes with special event tokens from:

  • Daily missions

  • Match completions

  • Special challenges

F2P players can earn modest tokens through gameplay, but rarely enough to reach guaranteed thresholds without diamond spending.

Pull Cost Calculations

Without confirmed M700 pricing, reference historical weapon skin events. Premium skins typically cost 60-120 diamonds per single pull, with 10-pulls at 540-1080 diamonds.

Base Cost Projections (90 diamonds/pull)

At mid-tier 90 diamond pricing:

  • 50 pulls: 4,500 diamonds

  • 100 pulls: 9,000 diamonds

  • 150 pulls: 13,500 diamonds

  • 200 pulls: 18,000 diamonds

10-Pull Bundle Savings (8% discount)

At 828 diamonds per 10-pull bundle:

  • 5 bundles (50 pulls): 4,140 diamonds (360 saved)

  • 10 bundles (100 pulls): 8,280 diamonds (720 saved)

  • 15 bundles (150 pulls): 12,420 diamonds (1,080 saved)

Always use bundles for deep participation—savings compound significantly.

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Budget Planning

Budget for worst-case scenarios. If M700 requires 150 pulls guaranteed, budget for 160-180 pulls as safety margin. Don't rely on lucky early drops.

Pity System Mechanics

Pity systems guarantee rewards after predetermined pulls. Blood Strike typically uses:

Soft pity: Increased drop rates starting around pull 70-80
Hard pity: Guaranteed featured item at 150-200 pulls

Pity counters track cumulative pulls within one event, resetting after obtaining the featured reward. Confirm whether pity persists between related events or resets completely.

Probability Curves

Blood Strike gacha pity probability curve chart

Soft pity creates graduated probability:

  • Pulls 1-70: 1.5% base rate

  • Pulls 71-90: 3% increased rate

  • Pulls 91-100: 6% accelerated rate

  • Pull 100+: Hard pity guarantee

Most players obtain items before hard pity, but always budget for maximum thresholds.

Guaranteed Milestones

Events typically guarantee consolation rewards at:

  • 25 pulls: Upgrade materials

  • 50 pulls: Rare-tier item or currency refund

  • 75 pulls: Additional rare rewards

These intermediate rewards partially offset total costs even if you don't get the M700.

Value Breakpoints

50-Pull Threshold: Light Spenders

First major guaranteed reward milestone. Cost: 4,140-4,500 diamonds.

Best for modest budgets wanting tangible participation without chasing the featured skin. Balances FOMO with financial responsibility.

100-Pull Sweet Spot: Regular Players

Optimal risk-reward balance. Soft pity activation around pull 70-80 means cumulative probability often exceeds 50% by pull 100.

Cost: 8,280-9,000 diamonds. Suits regular spenders who participate in most events but avoid whale-tier spending.

150-Pull Threshold: Collectors Only

Diminishing returns accelerate beyond 150 pulls. Cost: 12,420-13,500 diamonds.

Only for collectors with dedicated disposable income. Most players should avoid this tier.

Probability Analysis

Drop Rates

Featured weapon skins typically have 0.5-2% base drop rates. At 1% individual rate:

  • 50 pulls: 39.5% cumulative chance

  • 100 pulls: 63.4% cumulative chance

  • 150 pulls: 77.8% cumulative chance

At 2% individual rate:

  • 50 pulls: 63.6% cumulative chance

  • 100 pulls: 86.7% cumulative chance

Statistical Reality

63% cumulative probability still means 37% failure chance. Statistical averages describe long-term outcomes across thousands of players, not guaranteed individual results. Accept worst-case scenarios as genuine possibilities.

When to Stop Pulling

Set Hard Limits

Calculate disposable gaming income, allocate maximum percentage to M700 event. Financial advisors recommend limiting gaming to 5-10% of entertainment budgets.

Example: $200 monthly entertainment budget → $20 gaming (10%) → $10 M700 event (50%). Convert to diamonds, determine max pull count.

Mid-Event Assessment

At 60 pulls without M700 and budget for 30 more, evaluate if reaching the next milestone (90-100 pulls) justifies additional spending.

Ignore sunk costs—only remaining budget vs remaining probability matters. Previous expenditures are irrelevant to forward-looking decisions.

Avoid Partial Progress

Concentrate spending around guaranteed milestones. Either commit fully to the next threshold or stop after claiming the previous one. Partial progress between milestones is least efficient.

F2P and Light Spender Strategies

F2P Expectations

Free participation yields 10-30 pulls through earned tokens. Rarely reaches first guaranteed threshold. Expect consolation prizes, not featured items. Treat lucky drops as exceptional bonuses.

Light Spenders ($5-20)

Target first guaranteed milestone around 50 pulls. $10-15 investment plus earned tokens typically reaches this threshold. Best value tier for occasional premium items.

Token Farming

Complete all daily missions, special event matches, and login bonuses across 30 days. Yields 300-500 tokens (5-15 pulls depending on conversion rates). Insufficient for guaranteed items but provides engagement and small lucky drop chances.

Common Mistakes

Gambler's Fallacy

Each pull maintains identical base probability regardless of previous results (before pity). Ten failures don't make the eleventh more likely. Only pity mechanics create genuine probability increases at specific thresholds.

Just One More Pull

Single pulls disguise cumulative costs. Just 90 more diamonds twenty times = 1,800 diamonds (20 pulls) without conscious decision.

Solution: Commit to predetermined pull counts before starting. Stop absolutely at that limit regardless of emotions.

Pity Misunderstandings

Read exact pity descriptions. Some guarantee any high-rarity item (possibly off-banner), not specifically the featured item. Confirm whether counters reset after any high-rarity drop or only the featured item.

Currency Purchasing Strategy

Official vs Third-Party

Official in-game: Guaranteed security, standard pricing, first-time buyer bonuses
BitTopup: 5-15% better rates, instant delivery, secure payments, 24/7 support

BitTopup advantages for regular spenders:

  • Competitive pricing beating official rates

  • Fast delivery when needed

  • Secure payment processing

  • Wide game coverage from single account

  • Customer service across all time zones

Bonus Events

Time large purchases around bonus diamond promotions during holidays, anniversaries, or new content launches. Monitor for mid-to-late December holiday promotions for M700 event.

Don't wait until last moment—purchase during confirmed bonus periods earlier in event.

Expert Verdict

Aesthetic Value Only

Blood Strike Iridian Ultra Flip M700 weapon skin

Iridian Ultra Flip provides zero competitive advantages. M700 base stats (125 damage, 4 fire rate, 35 mobility, 60 range, 62 recoil, 26 accuracy) remain identical across all skins.

Optimal attachments (Compensator Lvl 34, 23** Barrel Lvl 10, Tango 6.0x Lvl 37, AICS Stock Lvl 30, 10-Round Mag Lvl 20) achieve: 125 damage, 4 fire rate, 34 mobility, 71 range, 89 recoil, 23 accuracy—same for all skins.

Value depends entirely on aesthetic preferences and collection priorities.

No Competitive Advantage

Blood Strike restricts skins to cosmetic-only. Zero statistical advantages, ability modifications, or gameplay benefits. M700 effectiveness depends on attachment unlocks through gameplay, not skin ownership.

Collection Value

Limited availability after January 18 creates exclusivity for completionists. However, value is subjective and non-transferable—accounts can't be sold. Value exists purely in personal satisfaction.

Recommendations by Player Type

F2P: Participate through earned tokens only. Don't expect featured skin. Complete dailies, claim free rewards.

Light Spenders ($5-20): Target 50-pull milestone. Combine modest purchase with earned tokens for guaranteed value.

Regular Spenders ($20-50): Consider 100-pull threshold if M700 aesthetic strongly appeals. Reasonable probability within moderate boundaries.

Collectors/Whales ($50+): Budget for hard pity (150-200 pulls) to guarantee acquisition. Only with dedicated disposable income.

All Players: Set hard limits before participation. Stop at limits. Never chase losses. M700 is purely cosmetic.

FAQ

How much does M700 cost?
Unconfirmed until December 19. Expect 60-120 diamonds/pull, 150-200 pulls for guarantee (12,000-18,000 diamonds). Check official announcements.

What's the pity system?
Not officially disclosed. Expect soft pity at 70-80 pulls, hard pity at 150-200. Check in-game details after launch.

Is it worth buying?
Purely cosmetic, zero competitive advantage. Worth depends on aesthetic preference and budget. Prioritize competitive content if budget-limited.

How many pulls to guarantee?
Estimate 150-200 pulls based on standard events. Budget worst-case, treat early drops as bonuses.

When should I stop?
At predetermined budget limit, regardless of progress. Evaluate next milestone viability before continuing. Never chase losses.

Can F2P get it?
Possible but unlikely. F2P yields 10-30 pulls—small lucky drop chance, insufficient for guarantees. Expect consolation prizes.


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